Discontinuity, Nonlinearity, and Complexity
The Effect of Social Distancing on Spreading of COVID-19: A Modelling Approach
Discontinuity, Nonlinearity, and Complexity 11(1) (2022) 91--96 | DOI:10.5890/DNC.2022.03.007
Aktar Saikh, Nurul Huda Gazi
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Aliah University,
IIA/27, New Town, Kolkata-700160, India
Download Full Text PDF
Abstract
Social distancing is a leading concern to the infectious COVID-19 outbreak or any other epidemic diseases which are spreading through the close contact or droplet transmission between a susceptible and infected person. An SIR model is introduced to describe the disease dynamics of the closed cases of Iran as of 31 March 2020. As the pandemic is going on, it is difficult to discuss more insights. We have tried to show the effect of social distancing on the spreading of COVID-19. The study reveals that the well maintains of social or physical distancing reduces the number of infections and deaths due to COVID-19.
References
-
[1]  |
Baleanu, D., Jajarmi, A., Sajjadi, S.S., and Asad, J.H. (2020), The fractional
features of a harmonic oscillator with position-dependent mass,
Communications in Theoretical Physics, 72, 055002.
|
-
[2]  |
Jajarmi, A., Baleanu, D., Sajjadi, S.S., and Asad, J.H. (2019), A new feature
of the fractional euler-lagrange equations for a coupled oscillator using a
nonsingular operator approach, Front. Phys, 7, 196.
|
-
[3]  |
Saikh, A. and Gazi, N. (2017), Mathematical analysis of a predator-prey
eco-epidemiological system under the reproduction of infected prey,
Journal of Applied Mathematics and Computing, 58, 621-646.
|
-
[4]  |
Saikh, A. and Gazi, N. (2020), A mathematical study of a two species
eco-epidemiological model with different predation principles,
Discontinuity, Nonlinearity, and Complexity, 9, 309-325.
|
-
[5]  |
Jajarmi, A., Yusuf, A., Baleanu, D., and Inc, M. (2020), A new fractional hrsv
model and its optimal control: A non-singular operator approach, Physica
A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 547, 123860.
|
-
[6]  |
Baleanu, D., Jajarmi, A., Mohammadi, H., and Rezapour, S. (2020), A new study on
the mathematical modelling of human liver with caputo-fabrizio fractional
derivative, Chaos, Solitons $\&$ Fractals, 134, 109705.
|
-
[7]  |
Baleanu, D., Jajarmi, A., Sajjadi, S., and Mozyrska, D. (2019), A new fractional
model and optimal control of a tumor-immune surveillance with non-singular
derivative operator, Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear
Science, 29, 083127.
|
-
[8]  |
Bogoch, I.I., Watts, A., Thomas-Bachli, A., Huber, C., Kraemer, M.U., and
Khan, K. (2020), Pneumonia of unknown etiology in wuhan, China: Potential for
international spread via commercial air travel, Journal of Travel
Medicine, https://doi.org/10.1093/jtm/taaa008.
|
-
[9]  |
Lu, H., Stratton, C.W., and Tang, Y.-W. (2020), Outbreak of pneumonia of
unknown etiology in wuhan china: the mystery and the miracle, Journal of
Medical Virology, 92, 401-402, https://doi.org/10.1002/jmv.25678.
|
-
[10]  |
Huang, C., et al. (2020), Clinical features of patients infected with 2019 novel
coronavirus in wuhan, China, The Lancet, 395, 497-506,
https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30183-5.
|
-
[11]  |
Lu, H. (2020), Drug treatment options for the 2019-new coronavirus (2019-ncov),
Bioscience trends, 14, 69-71,
https://doi.org/10.5582/bst.2020.01020.
|
-
[12]  |
(19 February 2020) Two iranians die after testing positive for coronavirus.
CNBC Health and Science,
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/02/19/two-iranians-die-after-testing-positive-for-coronavirus.html.
|
-
[13]  |
Wright, R. (28 February 2020), How iran became a new epicenter of the
coronavirus outbreak, The New Yorker,
https://www.newyorker.com/news/our-columnists/how-iran-became-a-new-epicenter-of-the-coronavirus-outbreak.
|
-
[14]  |
Liu, J., Liao, X., Qian, S., Yuan, J., Wang, F., Liu, Y., Wang, Z., Wang, F.,
Liu, L., and Zhang, Z. (2020), Community transmission of severe acute
respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2, shenzhen, china, 2020, Emerging
infectious diseases, 26, DOI: 10.3201/eid2606.200239.
|
-
[15]  |
Chan, J.F.W., et al. (2020), A familial cluster of pneumonia associated with
the 2019 novel coronavirus indicating person-to-person transmission: a study
of a family cluster, The Lancet, 395, 514-523, DOI:
10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30154-9.
|
-
[16]  |
team, R.C. (2 March 2020), Coronavirus: How is iran responding to the outbreak?
BBC News,
https://web.archive.org/web/20200304101128/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-51642926.
|
-
[17]  |
(26 February 2020), Coronavirus: Iran has no plans to quarantine cities,
rouhani says, BBC News,
https://web.archive.org/web/20200226194202/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-51651454.
|
-
[18]  |
Chuck, E. and Edwards, E. (31 March 2020), Can you catch the coronavirus twice?
you'll probably be immune - for some time, at least, NBC News,
https://www.nbcnews.com/health/health-news/can-you-catch-coronavirus-twice-you-ll-probably-be-immune-n1171976.
|
-
[19]  |
Hethcote, H.W. (2000), The mathematics of infectious diseases, SIAM
review, 42, 599-653.
|
-
[20]  |
Dietz, K. (1975), Transmission and control of arbovirus diseases,
Epidemiology, 104, 104-121.
|
-
[21]  |
Hethcote, H.W. (1976), Qualitative analyses of communicable disease models,
Mathematical Biosciences, 28, 335-356.
|
-
[22]  |
Hethcote, H.W. and VanArk, J.W. (1987), Epidemiological models for
heterogeneous populations: proportionate mixing, parameter estimation, and
immunization programs, Mathematical Biosciences, 84, 85-118.
|